Akron vs Toledo 11/20/2012

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Toledo is a heavy favorite winning 88% of simulations over Akron. Terrance Owens is averaging 277 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and David Fluellen is projected for 148 rushing yards and a 83% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12% of simulations where Akron wins, Dalton Williams averages 2.8 TD passes vs 0.68 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.33 TDs to 1.1 interceptions. Jawon Chisholm averages 77 rushing yards and 0.69 rushing TDs when Akron wins and 70 yards and 0.33 TDs in losses. Toledo has a 50% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TOL -18.5
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